So,I wrote earlier about how China's aggressive H1N1 quarnantine policy wasn't really effective for H1N1 because the incubation period is quite short...so when you have symptoms you have likely already spread it. Decidedly different from SARS which had a 10 day incubation period.
Well, multiple knowledgeable people whom I talked with in China about this immediately said 'The gov't knows that...they are just practicing procedures so they will be ready for a more serious outbreak.'
There is a certain logic to practising when the disease in question is not particularly lethal in terms of case fatility rate. However, it is unimagineable that this would/could/should happen in the US. While I hope a new flu/emerging disease doesn't erupt anytime soon, the world will probably be better off if it breaks out in China.
Monday, August 3, 2009
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